Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 4:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 4:31:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 4:32:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 0
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.21
Unexplained QI: 436.69
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 0% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
1
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
438.9 QI
Avg confidence
100.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x009402eB337D58ECA96A6933bdDb943EF0da21A4.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x009402eB337D58ECA96A6933bdDb943EF0da21A4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 4:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
2.21 QI across 1 visible row
0x009402eB337D58ECA96A6933bdDb943EF0da21A4
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.21 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:30:34 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:31:45 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:29:22 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:32:55 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
99,877.15 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:28:12 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
929.49 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:34:06 A.M.
-4 min
5 tx
755.88 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:27:01 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:35:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2.21 QI
Derived whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:31:15 A.M.
QI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x009402eB337D58ECA96A6933bdDb943EF0da21A4
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
2.21 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:31:15 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x009402eB337D58ECA96A6933bdDb943EF0da21A4
Tx: 0x005b00ab9d2ff4d1231682906db6e2214b42c65d077d2b76c7fc2446ba3fe2ed