Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 4:07:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 446.45
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 435.19
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
6
85.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
11.43 QUAI
435.19 QI
Avg confidence
73.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 11 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
446.45 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Balanced
Unknown type
437.43 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
435.19 QI across 1 visible row
0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
Net sender
Unknown type
139.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
Net sender
Unknown type
102.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 446.45 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
11.43 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:07:01 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:05:50 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
446.45 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:08:12 A.M.
-2 min
26 tx
1,304.5 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:04:39 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:09:23 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate60 tx
1,378.58 QUAI • 70 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:03:28 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:10:34 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 4:02:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
435.19 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:07:49 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
139.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x004D8ac7BB11Ca88A8687C0f6cc522C3F3832Aa6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0052006b9523ee37107453efdabcdf346f8abc949f9cce82f658efe28fb6ebea
102.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x003dBD4B919230986121a19Cf7219046D903a9c0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000600522b2de5e1bb5a26d8574e8d6c49e1358109eac74c645ce8a41b94ba82
101.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x0007fbfD1b2172Dd8EE6E8F1Dbe0ce38A6301a7B
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0028001e4529ee7f625317a8540f3efaeb52f95b951fce70d522176aff080d4d
102.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:07:56 A.M.
From: 0x00168639eAfC0f3BFA527e17917D8FCcaFfDb616
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0071004ad5fc7b513b46251594f87f4573b07731903d748a88a7e3392204573f
435.19 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:07:49 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00490003143a4823f1d69ad3f1c7d152d8437ade9ac34184d0d5dfe11b46ff8d
2.24 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 4:07:24 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00B1d673F25e4Fd063D75898289D2D0339A7D8AF
Tx: 0x004800f98d1fab9a5ae83314176005304b8962f754a67354750750b0683e79da
