Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 3:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 3:54:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 3:55:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
33% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50,001
Unexplained QUAI: 100,002
Explained QI: 431.99
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.2x above local average
89x previous minute
3.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
3
60.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
150,003 QUAI
431.99 QI
Avg confidence
84.7%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 150003 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 3:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (67% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (33%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
50,001 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
50,001 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Balanced
Unknown type
434.24 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
431.99 QI across 1 visible row
0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.25 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
150,003 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:54:02 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
1,681.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:52:52 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
50,001 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:55:13 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
150,003 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:51:41 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:56:23 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
200,003.09 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:50:30 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:57:34 A.M.
-5 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:49:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
50,001 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:54:13 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
431.99 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:54:52 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0004005b50bb6ea35c2eb915379fccc0c07d7edb7f782f0eedc2e112217c33fc
2.25 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:54:13 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70
Tx: 0x005900e677b5389b711821c464d12dd1bb9804b99f0b669dd81a2c887c5875f5
50,001 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:54:13 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x004d007db44f2778dd38240e6d69e98b6a014dc1da03cafc9350fd9f2d2286a1
