Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 3:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 3:44:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 3:45:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50,001
Unexplained QUAI: 50,557.97
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
1.0x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
3
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
100,558.97 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 100559 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 3:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
50,001 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net receiver
Unknown type
50,001 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.26 QI across 2 visible rows
0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.26 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
7 tx
100,648.98 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:43:25 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
100,558.97 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:44:36 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate4 tx
350,006.09 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:42:15 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:45:47 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
100,002 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:41:04 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:46:57 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:39:54 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:48:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
50,001 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:44:17 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.26 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:44:56 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70
Tx: 0x005500a05608c0fdca62b34637dddc63294c7e046f17c0219c2a1514cfb69bc6
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:44:23 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x008fb0a88CFBfE8935031fdf36EdFFC9b47B5A70
Tx: 0x0035005c82a1558face6c04e28d936f00e2c373b4736fd2a35ec70a4c8989c62
50,001 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:44:17 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x00350021f4b75b02742f8b90b310e58be5dc701d39ad9b60ff02946dbe224c99