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Spike bucket

08/02/2026, 3:43:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/02/2026, 3:43:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 3:44:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

50% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Large spike

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 50,557.97

Unexplained QUAI: 50,091.01

Explained QI: 10

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume

Relative context

1.1x above local average

0.3x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

57.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

100,648.98 QUAI

10 QI

Avg confidence

81.0%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + low confidence + 100649 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 56

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x009DE5c06Af167Da94A9004C0FC30dEBE5FaE8eD (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Partial source coverage

Last updated: 08/02/2026, 3:43:00 A.M.

Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.

Top actors in this event

K1 Mining pool

Net sender

Miner pool

50,001 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F

Net receiver

Unknown type

50,001 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C

Net sender

Unknown type

556.97 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4

Net receiver

Unknown type

556.97 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da

Net sender

Unknown type

10.07 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x009DE5c06Af167Da94A9004C0FC30dEBE5FaE8eD

2 repeated flows • 10 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 7. The remaining 3 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.