Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 3:03:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 3:04:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
32% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,158.88
Unexplained QUAI: 2,501.6
Explained QI: 569.03
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 43% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
10x previous minute
2.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
61
Observable rows
8
13.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
77
Asset volume
3,660.48 QUAI
569.03 QI
Avg confidence
73.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 3660 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 3:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (68% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (32%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,146.55 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
572.04 QI across 3 visible rows
0x007D7D64E54c597C1d928e87DA364D34a27305f5
Net sender
Unknown type
492.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
424.23 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
Net sender
Unknown type
343.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 421.22 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
61 tx
3,660.48 QUAI • 77 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:03:21 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
360 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:02:10 A.M.
-2 min
52 tx
2,446.11 QUAI • 61 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:00:59 A.M.
+2 min
25 tx
1,587.05 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:04:32 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:59:48 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
100,579.89 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:05:45 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
50,001 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:58:37 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
7.72 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 3:06:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
492.9 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:03:14 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007D7D64E54c597C1d928e87DA364D34a27305f5
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
147.81 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:03:50 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x001D2E1D69dA8092Ad3Cb1E001dE98F7067D074D
Tx: 0x003d005a32685957b1c34a357dd3b354fed40be784b3c871739ffd4f21dae717
421.22 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:03:21 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0043007854caffcbdab3f51cd6c6020dfc84709bb3e3fc9091ba873d2f84671b
3 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:03:21 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006800470815ef1fb0a68d8e337232a82f5e708051183923e9faa00f436d6637
12.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:03:14 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x00563582EEA080363408418F8C22E33A6701CA1f
Tx: 0x006000546d69e7f31027f64190bcc91f77a409a052304f997de7e52876a92224
275.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:03:14 A.M.
From: 0x006d1b468555E32cc3299406451d0393631aE482
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0008002d920202df93db6f6da942a84979eae7eb66aee48152a03689f6286446
492.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:03:14 A.M.
From: 0x007D7D64E54c597C1d928e87DA364D34a27305f5
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005d004f5604a121f2a5d2762fe151f408fe51440833bde32d9e989f830f1058
34.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:03:14 A.M.
From: 0x0033A21F59eD689B90A56C65BC9e0f5ae62327dc
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00680011f5148a300c3f516fe26db9ec0042c299bf1fc1a0d17cb75881717c05
343.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 3:03:14 A.M.
From: 0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0034006e109b1832f92624dabd1480bd67f9a4bd5f61343e2c85d0797cea900a