Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:56:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 292,489.92
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
4.8x above local average
4.8x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
242,488.92 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 242489 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x0098Ec8b3Bc10c2E8dAD330bCd74eC8543a603d6 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:56:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
242,488.92 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Balanced
Unknown type
160,003.11 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
Net sender
Unknown type
130,566.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
50,001 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
Net sender
Unknown type
1,919.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x0098Ec8b3Bc10c2E8dAD330bCd74eC8543a603d6
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 242,488.92 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate6 tx
242,488.92 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:56:16 A.M.
-1 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:55:05 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
50,001 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:57:27 A.M.
-2 min
19 tx
11,989.88 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:53:52 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
50,001 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:52:42 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
50,001 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:58:37 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:51:31 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:59:48 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
130,566.89 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:56:01 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
50,001 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:56:43 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Tx: 0x005900208de1b8b0e0c10aa98043e2097f17e42cceec6f35f2142b0da0a62408
2.3 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:56:29 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0098Ec8b3Bc10c2E8dAD330bCd74eC8543a603d6
Tx: 0x00330086c506d7ecf311f024378885b9a59a144aa21ff7652a2a2440a8ee05ac
1,919.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:56:01 A.M.
From: 0x002E29584b82702846500391f29783b9872ce19E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00490014d019b2c4b08f839cdd48186ac16dbe05bf4bb1c90a2d43ed2d9e4226
110,002.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:56:01 A.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a001dda19b899699ee09237f0c2c2654c1386bacda92d71941b48fd275f30
130,566.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:56:01 A.M.
From: 0x00177E9305777f6AbcC97C1F907844e13B5Cc934
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00690047a7e4beaa2d91b097381dce2146a5963d5c8a7625c797b5f2a7833377
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:56:01 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0098Ec8b3Bc10c2E8dAD330bCd74eC8543a603d6
Tx: 0x001b002cc53df7328651f88b174f38c5beba405c1977f2de356efe8e96ee1769