Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:53:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
22% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,644.7
Unexplained QUAI: 9,345.18
Explained QI: 350
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
19
Observable rows
8
42.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
11,989.88 QUAI
350 QI
Avg confidence
71.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 11990 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB.
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 -> 0x0098Ec8b3Bc10c2E8dAD330bCd74eC8543a603d6 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,644.7 QUAI across 6 visible rows
0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Net sender
Unknown type
1,490.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005bE0CA2f8Ee1554C9BC3332EfF511C01a5Fc02
Net sender
Unknown type
469.23 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net sender
Unknown type
352.31 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0098Ec8b3Bc10c2E8dAD330bCd74eC8543a603d6
Net receiver
Unknown type
352.31 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 → 0x0098Ec8b3Bc10c2E8dAD330bCd74eC8543a603d6
2 repeated flows • 350 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
50,001 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:52:42 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:51:31 A.M.
+1 min
19 tx
11,989.88 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:53:52 A.M.
+2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:55:05 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:50:21 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate6 tx
242,488.92 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:56:16 A.M.
-4 min
4 tx
51,921.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:49:10 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
50,001 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:57:27 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,490.37 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:53:12 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
2.31 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:53:23 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0098Ec8b3Bc10c2E8dAD330bCd74eC8543a603d6
Tx: 0x007600fb08dcf9694ad85a796a4997fcba745813b84de60699dd918d4ca06795
185.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:53:18 A.M.
From: 0x005CDA9Ffe6321216a0451A519cdc79CD441b521
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004400072a8e0ed080cd2a1c0b3a61d1974c4cd4db70ccdc73545b46458c49fd
1,490.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:53:12 A.M.
From: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00150069c2a7a0b0fbfc6695f7b1468865e37c4b7155ece014fd3993381be0a6
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:53:12 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x0098Ec8b3Bc10c2E8dAD330bCd74eC8543a603d6
Tx: 0x005a002fdd32138aa2eb601e975d20e05b8d026ae4f761250a4de79392f7e937
133.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:53:12 A.M.
From: 0x00627Ca48Eb5122B274badc01b1be67E9bde7f1b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00040025eafae682da663ed0df35ffee1c8c5a4c8f92269501c8b0732d81089c
139.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:53:12 A.M.
From: 0x00583aE733b95D86855b6C4b0aCC982d0433199A
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004b0050b81f147c63d25a2fec4664d197e397af96853dcb6e999ab1703ee266
469.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:53:12 A.M.
From: 0x005bE0CA2f8Ee1554C9BC3332EfF511C01a5Fc02
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0016007848708374bf29b5f3a09fe1a1afeb627ecfe43c15cc4bd1a6b5bfa9c2
226.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:53:12 A.M.
From: 0x0064fEb269239F2e79a866B2Ac113F36096E60f7
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00430037b67d40b62dc7a959fe49ed7486adbaf0a4781182697fb408ba360dc3