Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:52:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
19% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9,345.18
Unexplained QUAI: 40,655.82
Explained QI: 419.7
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
50,001 QUAI
419.7 QI
Avg confidence
67.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 50001 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:52:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
8,788.21 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
Net sender
Unknown type
4,718.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef
Net sender
Unknown type
1,709.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
Net sender
Unknown type
710.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
556.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 419.7 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:51:31 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
50,001 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:52:42 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:50:21 A.M.
+2 min
19 tx
11,989.88 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:53:52 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
51,921.8 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:49:10 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:55:05 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
134,308.27 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:47:59 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate6 tx
242,488.92 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:56:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
4,718.89 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:51 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
419.7 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:53 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0047005ea31240d24707ca776688073627298ab22ec329ce07db54e810e311dc
3 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:53 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000b0078b56bcecb6d1789a24672053fdbb34559422d1ce69e3a8858ba123c30
4,718.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:51 A.M.
From: 0x004fDaE1eab82e3cEf1F3CA96eAD1990777a18d9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0078001c82aff16f8d893bd411af3f5608902dcc88f17cdf334a952d9f63ed5f
710.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:51 A.M.
From: 0x004991C164Ba903b28B1768a534bC29fc801c00d
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0068001af6419eec7e042c906d3a17756a70b40afccc06fa58b2c9c669822aa7
1,709.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:51 A.M.
From: 0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000e005f34752f7b77d8e9a2357f6995c24c704a1831e24df4a0334c927c7361
367.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:51 A.M.
From: 0x004b24261E537dE9fC1759aC11a635A4299C9C05
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00660018af48b485300fac50c5a3c36e379089c52ab2fec8f26ed240596dd9fc
474.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:51 A.M.
From: 0x005Db301c7B1aE54d124b6767471b2a364d1B377
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0079000667cd1e4423252d79c9044cf696f66b070e9aa7a6fe70fbe261fa1811
556.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:51 A.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
Tx: 0x0072004d979efdcadf9e18e0d756cb61d5961b61e7fbd8f5dbef6f567d49a9d6
202.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:51 A.M.
From: 0x005f1dE2639f41fF8b60aD77C2d14a33CC75C964
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0018000c5fdfe91fece351ec628935dbe51ec5e574148e25a522847bd04d99a2
466.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:51 A.M.
From: 0x004c743D3E0B878965Def9Fa7F7A56b7d4E087dA
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0060006b5083c8d5e544711f589b44298f17d5da9163aee71e4394eaf7863f51
136.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:52:51 A.M.
From: 0x0051f76a4F4c62452cd811A54153fE7df762425b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0031005692572083fdcf3cde3a77342cd4a7ea5e47842e1c2398b29109c0135f