Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:44:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:45:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2.88
Unexplained QUAI: 7,958.38
Explained QI: 768.28
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
2765x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
3
27.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
7,961.26 QUAI
768.28 QI
Avg confidence
84.7%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 7961 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Balanced
Unknown type
768.28 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
418.28 QI across 1 visible row
0x00E9506128a46D516b1f3cF50a97554f476593D4
Net receiver
Unknown type
350 QI across 1 visible row
0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
Net sender
Unknown type
2.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
7,961.26 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:44:26 A.M.
-1 min
21 tx
68,766.4 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:43:13 A.M.
-2 min
12 tx
48,856.99 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:42:02 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
2.88 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:45:37 A.M.
-3 min
18 tx
9,367.94 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:40:51 A.M.
+3 min
21 tx
26,500.06 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:46:48 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
12,477.85 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:39:39 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate3 tx
134,308.27 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:47:59 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
418.28 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:44:35 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
418.28 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:44:35 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x00310072fab827259e90bf0062ae62b91aa4db093b1c1d678c4e885502db8c08
350 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:44:32 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00E9506128a46D516b1f3cF50a97554f476593D4
Tx: 0x0079002f42166cffe7b37966865e28e065dc7c7387dbd19a4bf1fb894a5ba42d
2.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:44:32 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
Tx: 0x002a00437ca464fb83ac1dbd02fbe08776327130f8d26c06f8379b2aa270be57
