Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:41:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:42:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 48,308.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 835.42
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
1.8x above local average
3.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
10
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
48,308.93 QUAI
835.42 QI
Avg confidence
68.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x007C4be44e8B7a5Be5e5Bc0D829e3d4657580271.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 48309 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 68
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x007C4be44e8B7a5Be5e5Bc0D829e3d4657580271.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:41:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
43,359.46 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007C4be44e8B7a5Be5e5Bc0D829e3d4657580271
Net receiver
Unknown type
42,484.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,949.48 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,742.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
835.43 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 835.42 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
18 tx
9,367.94 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:40:51 A.M.
-1 min
13 tx
12,477.85 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:39:39 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
48,856.99 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:42:02 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate21 tx
68,766.4 QUAI • 35 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:43:13 A.M.
-3 min
41 tx
38,109.22 QUAI • 51 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:38:27 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
7,961.26 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:44:26 A.M.
-4 min
16 tx
9,125.97 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:37:15 A.M.
-5 min
15 tx
18,375.99 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:36:03 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
42,484.91 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:41:06 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007C4be44e8B7a5Be5e5Bc0D829e3d4657580271
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
3,742.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:41:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C
Tx: 0x00300041992720f7240f5239b73d6514a386bdc5dafb65a1d7934943ac98940c
392.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:41:33 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Tx: 0x0071005a6331ba23b465d9439c2d40e5b82c2b2bfcb86b80b5c8ab229f5cee3a
417.76 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:41:18 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0038005dfa716c6d8e59023fe00880ccc862a81de8f72cd3dd6daa234ffb02e7
218.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:41:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00752F03E99004FF0DcF68364194491F7763495f
Tx: 0x007b00551c1e659717d080f3d9baffb996a9ee163ca4851aca73f1b771fa19ca
255.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:41:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
Tx: 0x007a0055e0c3d428534d7683286a63b6da7d40dcffeff5c6dadf7f3dec49cea0
417.66 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:41:11 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x002d00436bf98dcdf799d9e545f346bd47b296e25b154b454012495f501b11a4
345.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:41:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0074DA5D1C9E649401a8958A11AA88347C743C62
Tx: 0x003e0047cc6420c653a475aec3a81ae04897ee414f4ac2ae0de57ad1e2961a3b
618.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:41:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007dcd3a4727A074F7c9E118455Fc35EF1AB6197
Tx: 0x002c006981e46848c342238456c662bb2aa6a4ecf9c3b84b9f7113f111d3993b
250.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:41:06 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00743a2bF1c35514DAb84180e40D9C09C9B3C7d0
Tx: 0x00390048322b69fd66e30bf315bd1d62d4995b15a142d303a0b3f1ea7c1571e4
42,484.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:41:06 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007C4be44e8B7a5Be5e5Bc0D829e3d4657580271
Tx: 0x00030039b96357bba5bb75fb3f285258f08fd23b6fe1b39999a99b61029fc241