Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:38:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
13% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,799.61
Unexplained QUAI: 33,309.61
Explained QI: 2.32
Unexplained QI: 764.61
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
4.2x previous minute
3.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
41
Observable rows
9
22.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
51
Asset volume
38,109.22 QUAI
766.93 QI
Avg confidence
66.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 38109 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 32
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (87% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (13%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,840.1 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,959.51 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Net receiver
Unknown type
948.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Net receiver
Unknown type
904.31 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006Daaf7375Dd65D0A8719E916734607bbE326c3
Net receiver
Unknown type
762.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
41 tx
38,109.22 QUAI • 51 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:38:27 A.M.
-1 min
16 tx
9,125.97 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:37:15 A.M.
-2 min
15 tx
18,375.99 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:36:03 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
12,477.85 QUAI • 28 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:39:39 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
12,385.24 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:34:53 A.M.
+3 min
18 tx
9,367.94 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:40:51 A.M.
-4 min
30 tx
13,903.24 QUAI • 41 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:33:40 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate12 tx
48,856.99 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:42:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
948.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
904.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:48 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006f384FE26595A4AF5F86115D2B3cACaB220FDc
Tx: 0x001f00238f8f1e34b0ed20ad8caa97bd007a60d4375a25a39b9e984414211c72
121.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:48 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0063B7EcE01A26afda1E602cCD29B771C428b62F
Tx: 0x0015001443b2e5b3344e76b003773fe1ebe76e016c013427f85e8e6f56727d07
613.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:36 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006E6D7EC2BB958447Ed039c290a333165667D8F
Tx: 0x002600051e2e1e316928961a50900a84a3369d2b63589e2086292d7c5869cbc1
455.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:36 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Tx: 0x006100737b65ced4c157a4a2ff9a32996c64eee26918e4f3d4b2e328182d4a5e
434.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:17 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00628BF61B02ba4a9b3C5e3C4d13D53Dc70B8038
Tx: 0x006c002ecc03eb6f5e8915728c77565cbbef16db3f0ee8cfe08b44af450460a6
762.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:17 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006Daaf7375Dd65D0A8719E916734607bbE326c3
Tx: 0x00730073746caaadb2700c7b2833b15066987562702c38b54796db9841abb1f2
560.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x006d1fC143dFCdF9ac3Fda355d662fCef82d4168
Tx: 0x00280023da402487f2a735b44b52bae81c25a3c6b1b2116cc933b34ab5b1c8c6
948.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Tx: 0x002d00753b8d85ad9a4c5922eedbc6093c6c86eb5320a1f004725c11e2c94ee2
2.32 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:38:04 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00Dc31cC7108e297b1F324bB48d967D47ef8bEFd
Tx: 0x005e00a17315442971056e22b67cfa19eae65f11cb43801d11edd03dd5c24774