Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:27:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:28:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,372.62
Unexplained QUAI: 8,317.65
Explained QI: 828.9
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
0.9x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
5
35.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
9,690.27 QUAI
828.9 QI
Avg confidence
80.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 9690 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:27:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,149.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,149.16 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
831.9 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
831.9 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
223.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 828.9 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
13 tx
11,319.72 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:26:28 A.M.
+1 min
14 tx
9,690.27 QUAI • 23 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:27:40 A.M.
-2 min
10 tx
11,563.72 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:25:17 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate27 tx
45,824.34 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:28:51 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
4,213.22 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:24:06 A.M.
+3 min
13 tx
14,002.15 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:30:03 A.M.
-4 min
26 tx
35,735.75 QUAI • 38 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:22:54 A.M.
+4 min
13 tx
11,859.49 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:31:16 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,149.16 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:27:23 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
414.5 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:27:50 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005d00247c1d09228f144f8c8a06744d93ff158b1e219414276f22bf88e2965a
3 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:27:50 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x007200074a5e9db8a3bfb3157e9c001dfc5ffdc76d8e47cec1ff58dcd7cedf6e
414.4 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:27:23 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x006c007984673003eb3dea1e2795c542da0bb025d5a08484f4bab850bbcf0df0
223.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:27:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00486c55A3Bb33E240853Ae40335a28A458bD499
Tx: 0x001a00151c248691d0deb7d1160cb63ef9f1153531a5228e7dc13ca9ede8aae7
1,149.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:27:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004Aa3B5fFA2e3cB4238D367e602d0ae7eBb177c
Tx: 0x00670027d0a5f58261d28eb3948a6240bcf96bedb02c3ccf16effa479b5ec446