Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:17:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,693.2
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 825.27
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 29% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.5x previous minute
0.5x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
17
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
8,693.2 QUAI
825.27 QI
Avg confidence
65.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 8693 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 17 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,006.1 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,888.58 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00249Dc146e8558f53d5a4213C30Ab3c32ECA114
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,516.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,894.42 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,166.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 825.27 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
34 tx
12,578.19 QUAI • 41 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:16:51 A.M.
-1 min
22 tx
18,431.6 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:15:38 A.M.
+1 min
21 tx
16,827.32 QUAI • 33 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:18:03 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
13,143.02 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:19:15 A.M.
-3 min
26 tx
18,843.98 QUAI • 32 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:14:26 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate58 tx
56,437.08 QUAI • 67 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:20:27 A.M.
-4 min
17 tx
13,692.2 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:13:14 A.M.
-5 min
19 tx
17,617.45 QUAI • 29 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:12:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,516.99 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00249Dc146e8558f53d5a4213C30Ab3c32ECA114
All transfers in this selected minute
17 transactions
412.62 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:49 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004d0035ad9192bfd263d3daf3408f80ef9b2bc3661c8d7d6c6846a659a881d8
169.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:49 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007c36aFFd5462Bd7aA58D497830Ff9Ed86f5656
Tx: 0x000e003aa8def2bbd2bf00ee40baabf31ba200854f1cf7076b02e8c0e2e54e64
1,391.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x0079002f27e4317f4d8b60660733813f3d3ef0fc6c423521bae59c98571e3a53
194.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00279149c2f7c3783737B79597A7Ceb558D12241
Tx: 0x005a0020190063e44c71db620772be7d6ef26bd893c67281f7e50026781a503f
503.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00272A3B1850ce2E56DF955b2041FABfCAF3F117
Tx: 0x004500326cc580473877ae4e3984d02cb251fc87345623103c7fa32c7cbe092a
161.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0079c5eE80Af5B01AAc16B07A02eA44b126F62b3
Tx: 0x004f0039eff840fb715a911323c5de6ad5e3812650d1205e7d3f35353f3b8371
1,166.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:37 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983
Tx: 0x003900376b884aa6bb16cc69f8da05a2724a71ac9d7b740d33fe82148138f9c7
412.65 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:25 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003a002f5ef58d942ec2c1e3aa23203bf84c9347b830437cb057e1412399b816
490.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0026b31Ca4b240B5Ae9e48A65409FB8Bb51F852A
Tx: 0x0059000423f4a647509881e142e179be9b3e1280b8933449ab0ee1e6399a16cb
106.93 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:25 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x00797Ef1Ef4f80d60E64E0D62c73e22789EA4355
Tx: 0x00780031a4f7760a6e89e88f55230b3dc30375b8e18b98ce94887800f256b5c7
456 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00263215E71B295383730Ca46a28166c3AAc3609
Tx: 0x002d004fd64f45a37289e17f2fc4837ec55246e6dae1eb100f957179f5544512
812.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002514cA59ABb8141043e5fda6aea7A8ba9BAD9C
Tx: 0x007c006ab9cf52ee0eca55b868c39e73d2bd0d2b5221c6494b197cba6f8e9af8
102.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:19 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0077ee0d516382b2BBBc67A7c29C929fa8BE8B3E
Tx: 0x001000638fea65359d1d3e7cd4a7ee07862898f86f7f187264903fcf318bca61
183.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0025c1f0DeA4c465Afdd41cAaB6E2cC6F530A800
Tx: 0x001f00280bdbc33612a95fecaf600e22e2e81dac667a6216cb5f61f2fb973353
258.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:02 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x007660347A0fC5A9E1bd5f7ec58D4B6344eEcE5b
Tx: 0x0025002ca168dd8d65bfc88e8af6530954e8796034156a352bc1069b7ab201e1
2,516.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00249Dc146e8558f53d5a4213C30Ab3c32ECA114
Tx: 0x0005004e33a6517d97972d7087e56a20e5a6e6798ca5d360e22a83b11ede8939
180.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:17:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0024A7C887159Ccd5d9C9208671BfaA0A01919E7
Tx: 0x003300519e362c3ac68c4692602c3df9fd4363dc312fd9d668616460f213ea6d