Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 2:06:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 2:07:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
20% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14.72
Unexplained QUAI: 59.1
Explained QI: 409.89
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
5.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
73.82 QUAI
409.89 QI
Avg confidence
79.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 74 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 • 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 2:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (80% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (20%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Balanced
Unknown type
412.25 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
409.89 QI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
14.72 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
10.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
4.47 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
73.82 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:06:07 A.M.
-1 min
24 tx
882.68 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:04:56 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
14.72 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:07:18 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
564.57 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:03:45 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:08:28 A.M.
-3 min
55 tx
934.84 QUAI • 67 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:02:34 A.M.
+4 min
4 tx
3.29 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:09:39 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate53 tx
1,439.94 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/02/2026, 2:01:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
409.89 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:06:43 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
409.89 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:06:43 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000500562b33df2b22c3d1238bac0e66aa208804e57255d6e6d5bc8f58e65593
2.36 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:06:24 A.M.
From: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
To: 0x00D2785eDeb91284A75c1D2bD9334fe466f4FA47
Tx: 0x005500caada445bcb3e3a59b27e7a35cf308edf1069528e3f2b2408ac87513c8
10.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:06:10 A.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x00030065534c452db8ebd408b2875af657608894147e41ac2e740de0e981139c
4.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 2:06:10 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x004700233eebf8f813800464709df9d237f507f979966c7f8ddb39b2317a663b