Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 1:03:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 1:03:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 1:04:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
2% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 35.85
Unexplained QUAI: 2,023.09
Explained QI: 397.08
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.6x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
54
Observable rows
3
5.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
67
Asset volume
2,058.94 QUAI
397.08 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2059 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 1:03:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (98% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (2%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
400.09 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
400.09 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0077623e403D401369c9D4405B6CB82b0F48E56f
Net sender
Unknown type
35.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
35.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 397.08 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 1:02:26 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate54 tx
2,058.94 QUAI • 67 addresses
08/02/2026, 1:03:37 A.M.
-2 min
52 tx
1,873.96 QUAI • 62 addresses
08/02/2026, 1:01:15 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
600.01 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/02/2026, 1:04:48 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 1:00:04 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/02/2026, 1:05:59 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:58:53 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
7.71 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 1:07:10 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
397.08 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 1:03:49 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
397.08 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 1:03:49 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x005b00505ee270b657f3020340f94621cb2956fff629954886490182c58f77a3
3 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 1:03:49 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0058006537b554534786f21a93b8c1358189b684512351a36af154167aed98c6
35.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 1:03:47 A.M.
From: 0x0077623e403D401369c9D4405B6CB82b0F48E56f
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x004f00599bb0352532eabc7bb65c8aafcc1edba2e94ec88f90d8746388ce3a37