Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 12:15:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 12:16:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
25% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 50.34
Unexplained QUAI: 152.56
Explained QI: 949.93
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.2x previous minute
4.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
202.9 QUAI
949.93 QI
Avg confidence
82.0%
Dominant source: etx-type
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 203 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: etx-type
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source etx-type
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: etx-type • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
949.94 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
949.94 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
50.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
2 repeated flows • 949.93 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
202.9 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:15:12 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
817.98 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
50.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:16:23 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:12:49 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:11:39 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:17:33 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:18:44 A.M.
-5 min
6 tx
442 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:10:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
475 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:15:37 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
475 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:15:37 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x001900562aecbd14e9e9f3b334f6009113879f753e0fcbaeecef8170174eaf43
474.92 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:15:34 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x000d00048405ae0429556b28d64008ef285a390d270209d2325fa5f9a9c5c434
50.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:15:29 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Tx: 0x00320039631f91cf88c3cbce765d6a016e801040cd289372b92b67ff0def9d4b