Spike bucket
08/02/2026, 12:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/02/2026, 12:04:00 A.M. to 08/02/2026, 12:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
71% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 651.28
Unexplained QUAI: 267.59
Explained QI: 941.85
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 18% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
20
Observable rows
9
45.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
918.87 QUAI
941.85 QI
Avg confidence
72.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 919 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 • 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2.
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 -> 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/02/2026, 12:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Net sender
Unknown type
945.86 QI across 3 visible rows
0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Net receiver
Unknown type
945.86 QI across 3 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
651.28 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006F01531266035955B36D375360aA15F10ED0cf
Net sender
Unknown type
114.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
114.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000 → 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
3 repeated flows • 941.85 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 651.28 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
59 tx
1,666.69 QUAI • 68 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:03:20 A.M.
+1 min
20 tx
918.87 QUAI • 30 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:04:33 A.M.
-2 min
3 tx
82.51 QUAI • 18 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:02:09 A.M.
+2 min
9 tx
651.28 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:05:44 A.M.
-3 min
51 tx
1,509.31 QUAI • 65 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:00:58 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
411.01 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:06:56 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
100 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/01/2026, 11:59:47 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate3 tx
2,001 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/02/2026, 12:08:06 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
470.97 QI
Whale alertEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:04:30 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
104.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:04:59 A.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b001c240b0d888111c71cb124ff3d8e4b470c6e9d4097a61c14cb5efab70d
114.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:04:59 A.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e0070f0d4dce5e132243a4ec7b3f0953048e159533e331fdadcc5fc49a2cc
107.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:04:59 A.M.
From: 0x000cDD7d2F6Ef30215B7f8A8d7c409AdF3935b86
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00760041d4d57509739052f75a69298d484f8c61f9269c123cdcc6308bba08d0
114.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:04:59 A.M.
From: 0x006F01531266035955B36D375360aA15F10ED0cf
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0032000bdca4fe91d1d06ad543c38efe9c41bb7ac5cfd006aa4ed9021325892b
103.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:04:59 A.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e006b5ba02c659cb3bab0c2f929e9462333009820ce8fbbd6c4dbcbdcc5d9
105.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:04:59 A.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0001000c0a245cc5d1e0b7b6c5ee03204c5e23a2fc4720b211225d47c48e71c8
470.97 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:04:30 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x0021002cc0c300be74c3c2b70f5c9481d22d1d998e463e9a8360cd9e98189cc0
470.87 QI
Observed transferEtx Type92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:04:10 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x003a006c688968f27b84cfc7041179b5114692c926ffcfe84f55741077847f5e
4 QI
Observed transferUtxo Shape92.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/02/2026, 12:04:10 A.M.
From: 0x0000000000000000000000000000000000000000
To: 0x006ef231e9EDa08dFDAb9e3E964CD3e9e86684c2
Tx: 0x004300621ccf91aa051d88417949b267e76e767646cf364ca3d5afa5894b1eca