Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 11:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 11:04:00 P.M. to 08/01/2026, 11:05:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 36.77
Unexplained QUAI: 556.97
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 77% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
0.1x previous minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
3
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
593.74 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 594 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 11:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
36.77 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Net receiver
Unknown type
28.38 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Net receiver
Unknown type
4.14 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
593.74 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/01/2026, 11:04:20 P.M.
-1 min
65 tx
7,661.88 QUAI • 76 addresses
08/01/2026, 11:03:08 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate52 tx
22,734.5 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/01/2026, 11:01:56 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 11:05:31 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 11:00:44 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
110.33 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/01/2026, 11:06:42 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 11:07:52 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/01/2026, 11:09:02 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
28.38 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 11:04:01 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
4.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 11:04:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006d14928B63B598eC3B15bc7F10010Ad7EC31F7
Tx: 0x002b003cf48aab542d3ed2be14355f553ff98ed88b2d87f7ad041971a47659a9
4.14 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 11:04:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x006100495a839b856110db1b29bb285b3a22c7e7b0f9d3f567730bdb49a56ae2
28.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 11:04:01 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x001d00184463674765e14b969663a24e8109a5f06c68e0137f7f3fa8a142b8e0