Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 10:45:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 10:45:00 P.M. to 08/01/2026, 10:46:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
3% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 23.5
Unexplained QUAI: 846.04
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.0x previous minute
3.6x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
869.54 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000d390Da8C34c0c51943288d2a4C592fA8D9EdC • 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 870 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000d390Da8C34c0c51943288d2a4C592fA8D9EdC • 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 10:45:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000d390Da8C34c0c51943288d2a4C592fA8D9EdC
Balanced
Unknown type
22.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
Net sender
Unknown type
22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006AE7d5852e8D8F33C8b51A74B52AdE1790A46f
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00126644f5284eCeEfbd4601D7d13607169b2372
Net receiver
Unknown type
0.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
869.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:45:28 P.M.
-1 min
21 tx
18,111.41 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:44:16 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
556.97 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:43:05 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
239.88 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:46:39 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:41:55 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1.5 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:47:49 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate53 tx
42,675.04 QUAI • 64 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:40:40 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0.5 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:49:00 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
22 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 10:45:10 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x000d390Da8C34c0c51943288d2a4C592fA8D9EdC
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
0.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 10:45:56 P.M.
From: 0x000d390Da8C34c0c51943288d2a4C592fA8D9EdC
To: 0x00126644f5284eCeEfbd4601D7d13607169b2372
Tx: 0x001d003d950921cb9d2236eebb3d47175988f6f5915ea443586cd4c6501051be
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 10:45:10 P.M.
From: 0x006AE7d5852e8D8F33C8b51A74B52AdE1790A46f
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x000a007bf8c732990a6e1e9d9e2f1c876da02d66ec35eadb8416e8141b33fb7e
22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 10:45:10 P.M.
From: 0x006F73d0fb01a21deEc77A09F209C91A7b4AB8E6
To: 0x000d390Da8C34c0c51943288d2a4C592fA8D9EdC
Tx: 0x00540072852b3f8c5419738de53d39090d18902af03b17b4f3af8a54dccc79ee
