Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 8:19:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 8:19:00 P.M. to 08/01/2026, 8:20:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 228.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
77.27 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 77 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17 • 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 8:19:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
Net sender
Unknown type
127.48 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Net sender
Unknown type
101.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
101.32 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Net receiver
Unknown type
77.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004817ad0a80902c490613E1f405d09edD875C46
Net receiver
Unknown type
50.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 101.32 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 8:18:26 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
77.27 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 8:19:36 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 8:17:15 P.M.
+2 min
4 tx
381.45 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/01/2026, 8:20:47 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/01/2026, 8:16:05 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
47.36 QUAI • 5 addresses
08/01/2026, 8:21:58 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
08/01/2026, 8:14:55 P.M.
+4 min
Best candidate5 tx
73,579.63 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/01/2026, 8:23:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
101.32 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 8:19:58 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
50.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 8:19:58 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x004817ad0a80902c490613E1f405d09edD875C46
Tx: 0x004d004f1e13fc51fc41c26300fa0c372c7f4bf6440f921135fe3445f160a51e
101.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 8:19:58 P.M.
From: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0051002cf2111892a2d7b9109cd5d970a5b017ac9327ad6c20c4c242f460ef72
77.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 8:19:14 P.M.
From: 0x004b0015A5a719765d2CeBF08dE8cfb965593F17
To: 0x0037F72D85cDF7527e64d9C19609976003540B90
Tx: 0x0062003b312a485a9448ff29741299ce69387e1d473181699eebb855edb0e73d