Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 6:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 6:13:00 P.M. to 08/01/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,907.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 70% of explained volume
Relative context
6.3x above local average
14x previous minute
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
2,907.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2908 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 6:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,907.93 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
2,026.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
Net sender
Unknown type
295.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0067286d699EfE0d239c205a594eA040f06114Aa
Net sender
Unknown type
138.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002f0a15A0B1f395E93823f17e4d65629307Ea9f
Net sender
Unknown type
116.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,907.93 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
5.84 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:12:49 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
211.38 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:11:39 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate8 tx
3,464.9 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:15:12 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:10:28 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:16:21 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:09:18 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
2.41 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:08:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,026.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 6:13:36 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
116.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 6:13:36 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0068004a14481043be75d37fb652679a384d30de4a7a560ee54686d335da1e91
103.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 6:13:36 P.M.
From: 0x003d0e7E89a10Bbc732f6b91F824Ec9146946Ac5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001c004e013201f6b48dd202270667fa101f1e1e952b87e3a8459b3cdbcc6a76
2,026.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 6:13:36 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004c005713e9f7f64953cefb3c9ca41993773fee17ba75d4bce938c3ee8641f6
112 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 6:13:36 P.M.
From: 0x003F69C21C7bB382E5d63a468D47e25e9C297793
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002e0043bd68a6dd90773a57e13163874419d63ace5e9e445a2bff1235fc1d3d
138.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 6:13:36 P.M.
From: 0x0067286d699EfE0d239c205a594eA040f06114Aa
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0041002975216f49f43a83da425d95ed1ce472b21bef24f229006b0e64e09caf
295.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 6:13:36 P.M.
From: 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c0023617339b4cfeeaa45a282cc13159472b926f14c45cbdafb89661f1efd
116.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 6:13:36 P.M.
From: 0x002f0a15A0B1f395E93823f17e4d65629307Ea9f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00330062e74975dfe0811599d5d5e09ec2e34831d120e148c5bafaabe2a2e62b
