Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 6:11:00 P.M. to 08/01/2026, 6:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
28% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 58.81
Unexplained QUAI: 152.57
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 90% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
211.38 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 211 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (72% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (28%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
52.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Net receiver
Unknown type
52.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
Net sender
Unknown type
5.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
5.84 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:10:28 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
211.38 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:11:39 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:09:18 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
5.84 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:12:49 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
2.41 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:08:08 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate8 tx
3,464.9 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
15.78 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:06:58 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 6:15:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
52.97 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 6:11:10 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 6:11:37 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005a0044f80d7d86667ffbb34c61ce36807ef6f495d43f470cb8dbcd80ec46ec
52.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 6:11:10 P.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x002d8f38990b571B026d0Ff3905E481069Aae023
Tx: 0x005d0042c380298c98b8a5fa60bccfccd5f9338b486ec5d55fa3c3e63d3a9e91
