Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 4:11:00 P.M. to 08/01/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
8% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 9.79
Unexplained QUAI: 114.09
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 65% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.0x previous minute
13x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
123.88 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 124 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
9.79 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
Net sender
Unknown type
6.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
Net sender
Unknown type
3.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
123.88 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:11:01 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
2,744.99 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:09:51 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
9.79 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:12:12 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
106.49 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:08:41 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
556.97 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:13:22 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:07:30 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:14:33 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
6.75 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:06:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
6.37 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 4:11:15 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
6.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 4:11:15 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003f00733dfbb5c2bd5faa131d41c613774e9d03509ed6ed7cb04b88a2db267d
3.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 4:11:15 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0018003ac96199a50871549ceb84ef6bb054735ce5b23902abf6cf7f744e03fc