Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 3:21:00 P.M. to 08/01/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 237,220.26
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 63% of explained volume
Relative context
4.3x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
9
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
214,954 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 214954 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 56
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
237,147.5 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
150,514.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771
Net sender
Unknown type
25,610.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00120B8eAB9E5ba45e87c10fDc68Fc1080AC6280
Net sender
Unknown type
21,367.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007813a4b515c47C1058E8455D319840A18d60f6
Net sender
Unknown type
17,156.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 237,147.5 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:20:25 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate12 tx
214,954 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:21:36 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:19:15 P.M.
+2 min
13 tx
71,821.4 QUAI • 22 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:22:47 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:18:05 P.M.
+3 min
29 tx
39,963.6 QUAI • 42 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:23:58 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
66,652.25 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:16:54 P.M.
+4 min
11 tx
6,294.18 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:25:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
150,514.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:21:19 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
12,347.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:21:36 P.M.
From: 0x00690166E86cB4C058712b1fB7A54eFb2e754A76
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00550007f79adebd1f2cb649fdeb11b9c497947b7ccf9c9d9468a914e680a2f3
10,151.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:21:36 P.M.
From: 0x00297daee5a4999b3Db1a20a4fc5Ac0D747C1909
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007f00704f33e66d508f12dc6d90ca4c09a57272b3ae7a82dd92942b38c0b118
21,367.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:21:26 P.M.
From: 0x00120B8eAB9E5ba45e87c10fDc68Fc1080AC6280
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c0025308203beeb91590d17d61ad906f2b1b1984194650e71cef4798a572c
17,156.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:21:26 P.M.
From: 0x007813a4b515c47C1058E8455D319840A18d60f6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c00283e503d8a61dd4835385a7d5b66bc6aa98d305f04785c0a60a7cb6b01
25,610.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:21:26 P.M.
From: 0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c003fd6cd8341cc813a087036ae9789d6aff6a2ce35e144c6959374b48752
150,514.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:21:19 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00750055bdc76bd438898d204a91f768100aad74e9b0e2e775442cd2e2ca6ade
50.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:21:02 P.M.
From: 0x00584123E49b7BF82bEfdCba4bB6Ef6aEe44D4Ba
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x000f000bc472e8800ba67026e9ff641c3532b4a11f21bb1fca4f132073e4b529
18.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:21:02 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00470079a22403538f5cc05a3ec8736e028de81849e54ca472dde292726d97af
3.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0022004965727efd4b4ab7750e7951cd34ef758017b3595d4a2dc4ec2dc68b8e