Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 3:04:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 3:04:00 P.M. to 08/01/2026, 3:05:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 878.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
878.25 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 878 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 3:04:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
844.1 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
301.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
204.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
Net sender
Unknown type
119.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
Net sender
Unknown type
116.56 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 844.1 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
601.16 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:03:58 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate50 tx
2,158.74 QUAI • 60 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:02:46 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
878.25 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:05:09 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
1,578.08 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:01:35 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:06:20 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:00:24 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
22.48 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:07:30 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 3:08:40 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
301.71 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:04:53 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
204.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:04:53 P.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0019003e50e256ebe995b1f78d2e38e424ee593250f81e3fb7f5360ff7c0ff00
301.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:04:53 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006a001ac47cd0d36bc265e672a927443b36b7e693d2a2e1a0041245f11bd20f
116.56 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:04:53 P.M.
From: 0x0072DF620c41F7aBD07F7fceC52feb044e3D4d62
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f0008dbfc29bbb146723d990f7aef1980e107bab6fe378c5219c3f86b82ea
119.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:04:53 P.M.
From: 0x001D34B2650bb2D1716dd1eE877115375C540EbB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d005889d79f2c8d71fc63cdeae6baefc348c6ef729bb836afc4de9dfb7df1
101.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:04:53 P.M.
From: 0x004D1D330eB95CFdec44062D314fb261C154C4A1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d004cd3ff174cad74e3359bb53cd07fc25b7a88e982d58ddbf43733b405d2
4.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:04:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x004900338e903fcc893faa3b796eb0febe371d2ab6067bdf09412b370bb40d36
24.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:04:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x005000745a8ee0e3ba2b2e90ee41d48d09e2b1eb20d226e385731064135aa194
5.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 3:04:05 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003273B2988Dd0Eb22Ef74b5AB28e6F4D1E14189
Tx: 0x004a00038303026b2ae2b47d655cc512635b949e7a25d3ecea773abd3f5d9dcc