Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 2:13:00 P.M. to 08/01/2026, 2:14:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
21% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 612.84
Unexplained QUAI: 2,368.5
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 91% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
2,981.34 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C • 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2981 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C • 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 2:13:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (79% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (21%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
556.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
Net receiver
Unknown type
556.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
55.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0013a3A177761fA397aeC12A0919aacC43556525
Net receiver
Unknown type
55.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:12:19 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
2,981.34 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:13:30 P.M.
-2 min
8 tx
2,169.21 QUAI • 21 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:11:09 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:14:40 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
55.12 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:09:57 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
1,447.8 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:15:50 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
159.01 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:08:47 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
2,724.91 QUAI • 15 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:17:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
556.97 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 2:13:18 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
55.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 2:13:18 P.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0013a3A177761fA397aeC12A0919aacC43556525
Tx: 0x00080043ba6c568fcf01159db959566a5f31fd5fda02c57253a32f4645130261
556.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 2:13:18 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x2DBc0Da0ce7358f238098D06f4140C19237909e4
Tx: 0x0002003194c43bae1674c1a754eb7e3e8294cfb464085ad706689a628c441e70
