Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 1:22:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 1:22:00 P.M. to 08/01/2026, 1:23:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 76.01
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
0.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
76.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C • 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 76 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C • 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 1:22:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
Net sender
Unknown type
76.01 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04
Net receiver
Unknown type
44.65 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a3e5E8fAD443A92BCC5171C5c5699147C4528
Net receiver
Unknown type
31.36 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:21:45 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate4 tx
131.51 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:20:35 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
76.01 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:22:56 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:24:06 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:19:25 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:25:17 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:18:15 P.M.
+4 min
1 tx
52.62 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:26:27 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
44.65 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 1:22:02 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
31.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 1:22:29 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x002a3e5E8fAD443A92BCC5171C5c5699147C4528
Tx: 0x003900686ade113a6c2776f77c2818ff88a9bebb7613fdbfb72c3df84643aa16
44.65 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 1:22:02 P.M.
From: 0x0059b03F6a79b75a91F994e00227265751dAE71C
To: 0x004F4Ba924Ae2e2b4189636f107d56eFeAbeeb04
Tx: 0x003100356fb086386d17b651245d9681c57d370a57035dbdb78f3a2390fb811a