Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 10:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 10:06:00 A.M. to 08/01/2026, 10:07:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
7% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 95.85
Unexplained QUAI: 1,209.38
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 92% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
21
Observable rows
2
9.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
36
Asset volume
1,305.24 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1305 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6 • 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 10:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (93% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (7%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
Net sender
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Net receiver
Unknown type
88.4 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
7.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
7.46 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:05:25 A.M.
+1 min
21 tx
1,305.24 QUAI • 36 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:06:36 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate50 tx
2,207.38 QUAI • 59 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:04:14 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
639.32 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:07:48 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:03:04 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
2.45 QUAI • 5 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:08:59 A.M.
-4 min
50 tx
1,749.84 QUAI • 56 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:01:53 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
183.7 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/01/2026, 10:10:09 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
88.4 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 10:06:24 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
7.46 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 10:06:24 A.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x002700558fdfbbda0eaea79daa17f55ad6a370b62dba33e20f870d2b3b5480e7
88.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 10:06:24 A.M.
From: 0x006170040dc9fEB7E13De687029cf833670027d6
To: 0x004eB3e52040e871F789BF121B414c4b34A7b637
Tx: 0x000e005b2c14b7261408338097d3c51a5b62a182f181dd882af64b09b8a2dec8
