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Spike bucket

08/01/2026, 8:02:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 08/01/2026, 8:02:00 A.M. to 08/01/2026, 8:03:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

medium confidence

100% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 37,024.46

Unexplained QUAI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 84% of explained volume

Relative context

0.3x above local average

4.6x previous minute

0.1x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

9.6% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

4,045.74 QUAI

Avg confidence

62.0%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x002F491D8ef5eDE532e5D4f523904a2B383802a2.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + medium confidence + 4046 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 53

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b • 0x002F491D8ef5eDE532e5D4f523904a2B383802a2.

0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b -> 0x002F491D8ef5eDE532e5D4f523904a2B383802a2 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Broad source coverage

Last updated: 08/01/2026, 8:02:00 A.M.

Coverage gaps appear limited

Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b

Net sender

Unknown type

36,138.61 QUAI across 4 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x002F491D8ef5eDE532e5D4f523904a2B383802a2

Net receiver

Unknown type

31,568.5 QUAI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005844b50c1A4a03C4145a711BF26C0C3bE2afCE

Net receiver

Unknown type

3,706.15 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0054403727995A1b50197b34D7D6E64e70C068e1

Net sender

Unknown type

885.85 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

MEXC hot wallet

Net receiver

Exchange

885.85 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x007aE39BfE65f33469E2cE053Ddc38b4d5Ac564b → 0x002F491D8ef5eDE532e5D4f523904a2B383802a2

2 repeated flows • 31,568.5 QUAI

Type concentration

To exchange: 885.85 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 52. The remaining 47 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.