Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 5:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 5:38:00 A.M. to 08/01/2026, 5:39:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 32,165.59
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
32,165.59 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 32166 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 5:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
20,605.59 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007fC2e726DF1b9C9dcDee0fA07142e71d6c6b8A
Net sender
Unknown type
11,560 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0071f14e686bb748A8743bEf9F0BDd02F312277a
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,560 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
Net sender
Unknown type
606.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 20,605.59 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:37:30 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate3 tx
32,165.59 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:38:41 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:36:20 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:39:51 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
19,999.09 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:35:09 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
20,068.05 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:41:02 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
1,072.95 QUAI • 16 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:33:58 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:42:13 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.78 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:38:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
606.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:38:07 A.M.
From: 0x002C67943dc843c1120de306cf0946B2B0490D07
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0026001ea33cb4d782cd678e09864e2f1313377d9991936a990f1e70b7ba4d35
19,998.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:38:07 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e00440a5ce477ceda1681877e5ca694bb77f29d3f4aa781a2aff7b69454a9
11,560 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:38:07 A.M.
From: 0x007fC2e726DF1b9C9dcDee0fA07142e71d6c6b8A
To: 0x0071f14e686bb748A8743bEf9F0BDd02F312277a
Tx: 0x0015002cafd08f1f9d7be8c1554411edaa2bf806ca7f8e4a629a9746561a1f40