Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 5:17:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 5:17:00 A.M. to 08/01/2026, 5:18:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
4% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,515.11
Unexplained QUAI: 34,319.35
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
32x previous minute
23x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
35,834.46 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 35834 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 5:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (96% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,515.11 QUAI across 11 visible rows
0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
Net receiver
Unknown type
903.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Net receiver
Unknown type
266.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Net receiver
Unknown type
209.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Net receiver
Unknown type
34.24 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
35,834.46 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:17:28 A.M.
-1 min
50 tx
1,133.27 QUAI • 59 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:16:17 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:15:07 A.M.
+2 min
12 tx
1,526.38 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:18:39 A.M.
-3 min
51 tx
142,008.22 QUAI • 58 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:13:56 A.M.
+3 min
5 tx
20,020.73 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:19:49 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:12:45 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate7 tx
143,510.32 QUAI • 24 addresses
08/01/2026, 5:21:00 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
903.67 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
903.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002648420Ce77AE1fb0480133aa86846A08b30e6
Tx: 0x00750030f8a13e9b44bcccab5fb3b2d43a9187b92731a41252256ca5b01b04f0
266.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0062Bf0336D6335eB8Bd0836D1fdD86d040c7b9B
Tx: 0x001f001ef90a0d7b3da65a8db1590c1f70b8539f1cdb9c86bd6db7fce117fe31
13.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0014e8b32A212DF7ae5543F0B95bb6ae6dE24809
Tx: 0x003000122b5d65a04d8d9994d7263dd6d94e276aaf97a2ef9905092a9a503689
19.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0037da737aAf5e405ECF40243874f9A6fEba3F20
Tx: 0x0068007f172ea44e42e81a275cbf5178237304659fa9c93a218baa2027a5aeab
18.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00293B52b3891afa998163221A3D610Be0D5d99F
Tx: 0x007200322a18eabc3da74a407fb362f270d78469ac2ab0c0c2aefe83b5a0f070
209.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0001ec798D9186b010De72732d4Cf04E594D9d52
Tx: 0x0037000be39006084a2023e42f4dc747b75a55e2bbe8f0a0143f16750b9e9b0b
26.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x001e00068e94c9a11f1ca8aa0df5aa7f3e3fc7a1559a84688879d5ca67e68310
11.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004d27296eA9C630Ae2ebb84071575Bf1fF919d6
Tx: 0x0046007de3f3bef06c128bcb5eb00272580072f327006ecb060aa23c8ed35a85
7.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003C076bf5A11550C99AF32F325d618A96030635
Tx: 0x007e00489e8691b41a1940fb36d6e7e2e8390aec9b4f64c1d15111219d886671
34.24 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x0046003eca0f8b784a899d6f22e8dd93b08b5416b7832a9d38e71a736fdfa5a2
5.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 5:17:50 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002F97062f6324C696EEEB4105F87f35907e1c6f
Tx: 0x00790053d6f7aabde01c13dd27a80be6e2eaa5012203a66980471b3e237a04c4
