Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 4:08:00 A.M. to 08/01/2026, 4:09:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
52% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10.96
Unexplained QUAI: 10.04
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
1.9x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
1
33.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
21 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 21 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B • 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 visible transfer row
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (48% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 1 transfer row • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (52%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
Net sender
Unknown type
10.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
Net receiver
Unknown type
10.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
21 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:08:11 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
10.96 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:09:21 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:05:49 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate2 tx
135.06 QUAI • 4 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:04:38 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:10:31 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:11:41 A.M.
-5 min
2 tx
11 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:03:28 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10.96 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 4:08:49 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
All transfers in this selected minute
1 transactions
10.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 4:08:49 A.M.
From: 0x0001BA1d467bFA8B5c09C7EAc2E8f8E283667E4B
To: 0x003c9aC78A76ce401469475a1e2F9E372e1d754b
Tx: 0x006e007143ba64bd49337f50ccfa75d54b9502b7ecc057406b74af8cb800bf5e