Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 4:07:00 A.M. to 08/01/2026, 4:08:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 21
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
20 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
20 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001878a63959dA055D79bF3AAF04Aead0a81F0e6
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 20 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:07:00 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:05:49 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
21 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:08:11 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate2 tx
135.06 QUAI • 4 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:04:38 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
10.96 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:09:21 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
11 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:03:28 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 6 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:10:31 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
08/01/2026, 4:02:18 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 4:07:30 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 4:07:30 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x002100784780cf41c5c3c35169d6dfdce97e6fe9aacc56e71d3324fc027c9aef
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 4:07:26 A.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0076007e4bd288c3e76cc195f98dbe24fb56ed17437ad1b632279d9663a1f9a5
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 4:07:26 A.M.
From: 0x001878a63959dA055D79bF3AAF04Aead0a81F0e6
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x0001004545aad7caecf90eef8cfa30cc437da0a24118bdc351493eb936af35ad