Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 2:46:00 A.M. to 08/01/2026, 2:47:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 435.37
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 60% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
435.37 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00649A068AEFbE9eb022B264B48210d3A0df2847 • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 435 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00649A068AEFbE9eb022B264B48210d3A0df2847 • 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 2:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00649A068AEFbE9eb022B264B48210d3A0df2847
Net sender
Unknown type
263.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Net receiver
Unknown type
263.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
114.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004104ca4e0a37CAdEf26d6bC25202e742F9f5FE
Net receiver
Unknown type
114.77 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
57.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate11 tx
28,189 QUAI • 27 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:45:38 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
435.37 QUAI • 12 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:46:49 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
246.78 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:44:27 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
24,601.4 QUAI • 25 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:48:00 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
776.43 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:43:17 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
6,031.27 QUAI • 19 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:49:11 A.M.
-4 min
8 tx
2,023.7 QUAI • 20 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:42:05 A.M.
+4 min
15 tx
7,552.91 QUAI • 26 addresses
08/01/2026, 2:50:22 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
263.27 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 2:46:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00649A068AEFbE9eb022B264B48210d3A0df2847
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
57.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 2:46:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00423DAA82a7620DD963d0030A4A555d6dc72dFD
Tx: 0x002d0021041e29ff8784234406f9de1852d4d20df2b1aeb89fec136f57a14b3c
114.77 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 2:46:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004104ca4e0a37CAdEf26d6bC25202e742F9f5FE
Tx: 0x006c005ed161e09e7c054ac3945a815a063c2d9aad3d74beaf59b9e2501a76cf
263.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 2:46:03 A.M.
From: 0x00649A068AEFbE9eb022B264B48210d3A0df2847
To: 0x003e6d9CaF8bB49fa74608906D805fE54e9B20BA
Tx: 0x00270071198a455c9eeac15d281e1b95fe37644823eef0800df60c00cc89ffe3