Spike bucket
08/01/2026, 1:39:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 08/01/2026, 1:39:00 A.M. to 08/01/2026, 1:40:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 14.93
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 66% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
14.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 15 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 08/01/2026, 1:39:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
14.93 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
Net sender
Unknown type
9.82 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00051a801E6E9293A8A2d978a80A45AA231a6A8e
Net sender
Unknown type
5.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:38:20 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
14.93 QUAI • 14 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:39:32 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:37:09 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:40:42 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:35:59 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:41:52 A.M.
-4 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 10 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:34:49 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate1 tx
19,999.05 QUAI • 13 addresses
08/01/2026, 1:43:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
9.82 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 1:39:26 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
5.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 1:39:26 A.M.
From: 0x00051a801E6E9293A8A2d978a80A45AA231a6A8e
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x003a001187c70205852777c02ca9b4a862132d2f1ee14e76e7004715d6da3806
9.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
08/01/2026, 1:39:26 A.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00710077cec242fff8831941c021b920a88337e960cefafc0aa2e32020eda35f