Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 11:39:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 11:39:00 P.M. to 07/31/2026, 11:40:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 134.01
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 33% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
23
Asset volume
133.01 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 133 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 11:39:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
123.01 QUAI across 9 visible rows
0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad
Net sender
Unknown type
43.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
22.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
13.64 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
11 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 11 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
Best candidate5 tx
1,168.88 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/31/2026, 11:38:26 P.M.
+1 min
10 tx
133.01 QUAI • 23 addresses
07/31/2026, 11:39:36 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 11:37:15 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 11:40:46 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
07/31/2026, 11:36:05 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
111 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 11:41:57 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/31/2026, 11:34:55 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 11:43:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
43.69 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:39 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0042007652102f8dc2bf1d56bfc601f9046a199bea7054b3dc998af2095183e0
10 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x002f002c0b4d34ff9d6ee52d1acb7e5bd1b6e2187df8f5f53e416ab1ea21b54b
13.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001c007b36b6ac383f774d79e4cc28bb9b85300803d952a8b2abaad100935960
8.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
From: 0x00093Df76A2EE3Cf4A58d7C6855c1b84df891F9b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002800366073392dfab2d636ad0854f01f29d96a04b62cc6c3eae961412930f9
43.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
From: 0x00687ba701328c1801d60C6d159cEf23714d66Ad
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00200063d90d720e147fd1af7a36d7cd2c37cf87af82ae9810ce1c26916205f2
8.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007f00067b32ac04f176233c8a7f1b43f48e69de5e04b27bbcaa9025e892c728
6.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
From: 0x006218653c98DeE29002F0d26DBf7b20Fcdca27b
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005e004b66b2ccca47e651b010fea5819debcd02c502fcb728c08f8b09b82cc0
22.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00510009f5a08adc4baedee1b598dcb76e56fb616e14641d3339df6e270a54cf
3.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
From: 0x00703a67D567B86840785b64A7555Aa2Ef7d36c1
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x001600144f29d8690aca538f0b6773fdd14583c7d2944d5353a30d1d314a0580
9.19 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
From: 0x002FF3BF8a0F2616e264868A64886C15eb911C6C
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00380041839e1a87b9067267f5b8a0d7b7f1d061e13d3bcf209398b3546e585c
7.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 11:39:29 P.M.
From: 0x00242627257ce56AB5F2535baE0718509f654e4f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x002e004aee0d1938be360a663377283957394a65f362a70f1ccca344a6b23eb9