Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 10:43:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 10:43:00 P.M. to 07/31/2026, 10:44:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 37,004.04
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
14
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 10:43:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
37,004.04 QUAI across 14 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0031674e2c7dC271CE7D416aA1077a8a7A5C3EF8
Net sender
Unknown type
1,960.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
Net sender
Unknown type
1,903.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
Net sender
Unknown type
1,567.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 37,004.04 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/31/2026, 10:43:07 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
111.86 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 10:41:57 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate26 tx
42,421.78 QUAI • 35 addresses
07/31/2026, 10:44:18 P.M.
-2 min
53 tx
41,857.48 QUAI • 68 addresses
07/31/2026, 10:40:43 P.M.
-3 min
5 tx
20,056.06 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/31/2026, 10:39:32 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
245.12 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 10:45:30 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/31/2026, 10:46:41 P.M.
-5 min
1 tx
1 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 10:38:21 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.71 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
1,153.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x002Addb54c936e1556bd15f16BE610Cced713b43
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0062002a246d552d2427d89756363c862dad9c8cc6f8c1d0b513031f33801164
1,108.21 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x000C98f8B3680A25CdBD4F5d0aF59b9fd0b83026
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0046002336b646dc025b1e4e79a7c2e92e7523eb1281cce8872c83c7cd66ad15
960.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x002068721922239001FEA8422BBAa085B5588dbA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004002a747bdfa3bfb9a58e24741f6610b3dcf7581631d0b1e40194a095ba9f
1,960.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x0031674e2c7dC271CE7D416aA1077a8a7A5C3EF8
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0077001996c7b60792c4b0f236659a5c1ca284eafe8942bd4eb246585eeebe67
1,279.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x000d62E57a5C7d0135D9d089490C5243DB6c7B5C
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006200299ff0dc7d2334e125f426ebeeaced3c7cd33a66d678a84ff8811c751d
1,333.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x005321365b4D638f696F96Ea8de1d44843c1BA8f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002a007e17c09d842dbde7b5a3e0ea9f903753e85a2c2517148302a94094d3a4
1,145.52 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x002e219d4DD90Ae25b21E3dc50728D5C70f2Df5A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f001e0514bcbdfb18ff77d2c7a14c592b6b6106395cf675300394b59a6456
19,998.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0057000de5acfbc79173bfe6478bd17263aabeb0da3ec03eb001f30079460ab0
1,161.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x001F8CD2f7B9520bDbE5eC5F2A40b0B7AB6D1298
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004700606cca6b39d60d03beceb6189319a59982e69c737757b0a7a71e48758c
1,903.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x00317Fc467ceb612A8ff329d69F6e6EdAF2C8008
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0067003b93e81a0f21a9ed484fbe78351442eb29e87ed000300f0e78a07488f1
1,567.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x0061E9388AA57c88608a5722e43Bc4DAc5D54B15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0018001a041f6b1d842e5aa9ad3dcb2cac53377b6a2f28b35223da2ed86b097e
1,122.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x006B550C549e4Dcc80fC7a8EE7a4a7dB8eFD881f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001a005bc5298eed30a55b0451f356f88010de934bf06c84d80cc9d1439e822d
1,390.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x002bB5B70f1271980e3eeCE328a9163Df981F451
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0047001ac2aa86f3ca6124fff09578d5c8da76e41893f3442329a07f4d7aeaae
919.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:43:45 P.M.
From: 0x0042F356DBDfd1238f3595EBe8751DE5b8BDc2C1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e003f36af304d80097c3fa0151e260fa30eafd2b8006bb4926733352ca65a
