Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 8:18:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 8:18:00 P.M. to 07/31/2026, 8:19:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 24.37
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
3.5x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
18.93 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 19 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907 • 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 8:18:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Net receiver
Unknown type
18.93 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
Net sender
Unknown type
10.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
Net sender
Unknown type
8.67 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
Net sender
Unknown type
5.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
5.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
18.93 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/31/2026, 8:18:24 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 8:17:14 P.M.
-2 min
45 tx
1,716.85 QUAI • 57 addresses
07/31/2026, 8:16:03 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
5.45 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/31/2026, 8:19:35 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/31/2026, 8:14:53 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate5 tx
13,063.01 QUAI • 6 addresses
07/31/2026, 8:20:45 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
2,029.67 QUAI • 61 addresses
07/31/2026, 8:13:42 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/31/2026, 8:21:57 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10.25 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 8:18:12 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
5.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 8:18:59 P.M.
From: 0x0038797E44cCBbE9D76347DC75A71448386543B6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00160025c94dd2d820d7dab6766cd190bd835baf4a4a7166674f36b743a37c8b
8.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 8:18:12 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0070004c1982319ef677456216b8254a33e8d928ed0279c0459a7b322483e53e
10.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 8:18:12 P.M.
From: 0x0061e8518Bbd996F3930504F99d3F8af28B19de9
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0043005ac18390496665c09a85a0dd17e399c7841424dd32603e4279271ef5b6