Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 7:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 7:16:00 P.M. to 07/31/2026, 7:17:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
71% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,908.54
Unexplained QUAI: 789.13
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 53% of explained volume
Relative context
3.5x above local average
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
51
Observable rows
7
13.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
59
Asset volume
2,697.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00379d851D91DC9F2A39978a674735bE66252223.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 2698 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x00379d851D91DC9F2A39978a674735bE66252223.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 7:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,888.87 QUAI across 6 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00379d851D91DC9F2A39978a674735bE66252223
Net sender
Unknown type
1,006.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
Net sender
Unknown type
452.99 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006F01531266035955B36D375360aA15F10ED0cf
Net sender
Unknown type
111.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
Net sender
Unknown type
109.9 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,888.87 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate51 tx
2,697.67 QUAI • 59 addresses
07/31/2026, 7:16:16 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 7:15:05 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
1,908.54 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/31/2026, 7:17:27 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
490.08 QUAI • 59 addresses
07/31/2026, 7:13:55 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
1,007 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 7:12:44 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/31/2026, 7:18:39 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 7:11:33 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
22.76 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 7:19:49 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,006.69 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 7:16:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00379d851D91DC9F2A39978a674735bE66252223
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
19.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 7:16:55 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Tx: 0x006400591b79458a3f663f6040c0f041f57d84840c02f8c369eb032e3a7d3923
1,006.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 7:16:22 P.M.
From: 0x00379d851D91DC9F2A39978a674735bE66252223
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f0055a76f535c200fff852f399bfa5bf96fa455308baadbbc4a3725dce7f5
111.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 7:16:22 P.M.
From: 0x006F01531266035955B36D375360aA15F10ED0cf
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007c0010f9f746a08a589ccfb642e64bb1313e5e4d2d16a3c87b57c7f0f83647
103.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 7:16:22 P.M.
From: 0x00101818D47a4f44FC3030a3bb8D28Fa27Fc3dAA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0031000f19f943c2d043700316b01a9228d1bd812964fe9b3d2a664c7cb26d9e
104.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 7:16:22 P.M.
From: 0x002EBF145D38B1C5BD8C35B191691F9f4C2aD3De
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000d001f7bc0ab2daf3817f90985fe3a3b3075bf0f2d6cf1c36ec5cf2833cce8
109.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 7:16:22 P.M.
From: 0x0045f0A51D2cFC3B573a7DCc2C14AD3C47C3f58e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c0016271dd1959d4df918c19254e475a19d791230c317d9365af286b1b3a9
452.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 7:16:22 P.M.
From: 0x00153427831C607E490D6c1B064dF6a41AcA8566
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0029000216f340c0fe0e533df62cbbf764e9f227ed101bda738de7a1616ef3f1
