Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 6:28:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 6:28:00 P.M. to 07/31/2026, 6:29:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
25% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 61.28
Unexplained QUAI: 188.72
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 98% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
1.0x previous minute
4.1x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
250 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 250 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6 • 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 6:28:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6
Net sender
Unknown type
60.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
60.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005760C65Eaa2D9eF2851FC883230ada8a1867c4
Net sender
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
1 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
250 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:28:06 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
250 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:26:55 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
61.28 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:29:16 P.M.
-2 min
26 tx
18,912.05 QUAI • 38 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:25:43 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:30:28 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:24:30 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:31:38 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate3 tx
21,114.63 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:23:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
60.28 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:28:55 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
60.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:28:55 P.M.
From: 0x0078a378efe299Fbb217C0d9Aa34392c197147D6
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x007f000d4f833480f7762a6a55b33d27a577ab8c102c90a78e9e721717f9b516
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:28:55 P.M.
From: 0x005760C65Eaa2D9eF2851FC883230ada8a1867c4
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x0030004d6811d2a8c5f5d141e4b8121885f0229a50ab7a85eda6daecb361da0a