Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 6:14:00 P.M. to 07/31/2026, 6:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,309.73
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
1.0x above local average
0.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
3,309.73 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3310 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
3,309.73 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
Net sender
Unknown type
1,675.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007d64721174E85dDa0d49d2df87AEd43aF5a8F0
Net sender
Unknown type
652.98 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d9d096ba283A0ac6A453ABdb913DF21090853
Net sender
Unknown type
269.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002f0a15A0B1f395E93823f17e4d65629307Ea9f
Net sender
Unknown type
168.04 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 3,309.73 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate51 tx
22,122.3 QUAI • 61 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:13:54 P.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:12:44 P.M.
+1 min
34 tx
4,406.96 QUAI • 47 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:15:07 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
2.76 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:11:33 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
28.11 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:16:18 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:17:28 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:10:23 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:09:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,675.78 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:14:02 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
105.38 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:14:02 P.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003c004aa354a41a9104d08257e93df8eaa2a210098d360a2cfc65913f08adc0
158.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:14:02 P.M.
From: 0x0041875F0A949D73F63A1755c97c5993FA7a0A11
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b002a0069600c44d93f25ccbdf36955437e825dabc3e43223042cd41bc587
269.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:14:02 P.M.
From: 0x000d9d096ba283A0ac6A453ABdb913DF21090853
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c000340270f9b9c5a807c6d7d672887b9285cb143ddcf7a24b52d548aa671
652.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:14:02 P.M.
From: 0x007d64721174E85dDa0d49d2df87AEd43aF5a8F0
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00080067488eb7f588abf1439328b8455da76a27e276eafab85d72091c2ff687
140.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:14:02 P.M.
From: 0x002d105d7A2aA4809b815643e5ac4c5f2A9bB3d7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004a00662fa5cedf07e146865e0237859c6bcf31605f7ce6a07079d072defe79
1,675.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:14:02 P.M.
From: 0x004a6CCE919d3E359b135Eb543BBCcB6818E8164
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000e0025f5a9ac050451b384c6d70230fc51950980359042aa219535409157db
139.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:14:02 P.M.
From: 0x006374Baf4FAf34939ac989DE57B06e63D7049F4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0024007a7f3f401659d2cf7932060db409a5b317539227583c156e30b93a40d3
168.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:14:02 P.M.
From: 0x002f0a15A0B1f395E93823f17e4d65629307Ea9f
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00620073215c85087dd25991df33d4942ecd872aff7f09b43ea58a8989fd7a05