Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 5:38:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 5:38:00 P.M. to 07/31/2026, 5:39:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 48.17
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 41% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
17
Asset volume
48.17 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 48 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519 • 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 5:38:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Net receiver
Unknown type
43.17 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
Net sender
Unknown type
19.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
Net sender
Unknown type
13.83 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
Net sender
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0038488EbCC7062FB73d5BF79898ABe15DE37FB3
Net receiver
Unknown type
5 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 5 addresses
07/31/2026, 5:37:28 P.M.
+1 min
5 tx
48.17 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/31/2026, 5:38:39 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 5:36:18 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 5:39:49 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 7 addresses
07/31/2026, 5:35:08 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
10 QUAI • 10 addresses
07/31/2026, 5:40:59 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate2 tx
533.04 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 5:33:58 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 5:42:09 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19.97 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 5:38:37 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 5:38:37 P.M.
From: 0x003D2640393d6d2422c3B00849b8b539BB8D1688
To: 0x0038488EbCC7062FB73d5BF79898ABe15DE37FB3
Tx: 0x004d007d78423162f53b4ce41d27ecc60af2bbf17f8b81e772be5c077ad83f96
4.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 5:38:37 P.M.
From: 0x000Ddec2aDbe15C20b25198596a3BfB0DD59f973
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x0053000426b7bf06f56279603813c89638caab8cf004daeac77539f1b3154e22
13.83 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 5:38:37 P.M.
From: 0x001FC596547c096A66C4441d50C86E0bb6AdE1C9
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x004d00093461620e7cff9eb8035da1426129f4d1cc2205a78245cca2d3864c35
19.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 5:38:37 P.M.
From: 0x00570Ada40BFabECe2047797D415bB02e57a427f
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x005100648e9f4014ec9e13acf74c2df0e7876efb8861a5130e742ae600334641
4.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 5:38:37 P.M.
From: 0x005182a1cAa86CB99209A4Ba3B3239971BEEA866
To: 0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519
Tx: 0x00540046a0dc74c21a2598b4060a5e978cb1b4df491bab16073af808f60d76cf
