Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 3:27:00 P.M. to 07/31/2026, 3:28:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
26% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 2,460.71
Unexplained QUAI: 6,842.98
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
0.6x previous minute
3.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
26
Observable rows
7
26.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
38
Asset volume
9,303.69 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d5e3941d55bA4F45EaAD33E89425250dbFd22.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 9304 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x000d5e3941d55bA4F45EaAD33E89425250dbFd22.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (74% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (26%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
2,460.71 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x000d5e3941d55bA4F45EaAD33E89425250dbFd22
Net sender
Unknown type
370.29 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000a223e74Bcd7059A53b02Fa13EDAdF34549310
Net sender
Unknown type
366.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Net sender
Unknown type
359.94 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000f5c2d2500087d3e26357402170042be0367f5
Net sender
Unknown type
356.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 2,460.71 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
26 tx
9,303.69 QUAI • 38 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:27:03 P.M.
-1 min
32 tx
15,867.19 QUAI • 44 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:25:50 P.M.
+1 min
7 tx
2,460.71 QUAI • 17 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:28:15 P.M.
-2 min
22 tx
16,083.49 QUAI • 32 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:24:36 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
2.1 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:29:26 P.M.
-4 min
19 tx
26,449.53 QUAI • 33 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:23:25 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
62,648.57 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:30:37 P.M.
-5 min
Best candidate18 tx
550,115.84 QUAI • 31 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:22:12 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
370.29 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:27:16 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000d5e3941d55bA4F45EaAD33E89425250dbFd22
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
356.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:27:57 P.M.
From: 0x0009872c2ba931482d4EE8041365832E020807C2
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d00640fe485b39e5226232b10b12e3301ffbd29be79285e3bc9ca0218fcc7
333.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:27:57 P.M.
From: 0x000431e64aa6008591d75B65583d646Ecd5C911a
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f006b92a5a3386c48c97649273bbe5d2858213917cd56f2a8755fe6f19914
366.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:27:57 P.M.
From: 0x000a223e74Bcd7059A53b02Fa13EDAdF34549310
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b000b6f011575626bde462246e0f002cc3d740e880d8b3e3b0437103e37ac
359.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:27:16 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004d00624e5177239f873af54f3a7ad4333711be570d3172ad463ed9201d5c88
316.99 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:27:16 P.M.
From: 0x0010C3f123b951A97Abb0942DBECfD73276b1bd3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f00146429b4f3ac53a10bb1c8b550fd04e0cc4dac213918b5b2229dcb9bf7
356.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:27:16 P.M.
From: 0x000f5c2d2500087d3e26357402170042be0367f5
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0013000125e35e249cbfbe6bebcd5d107652ed01756250bb34ed5f493bdcb6bb
370.29 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:27:16 P.M.
From: 0x000d5e3941d55bA4F45EaAD33E89425250dbFd22
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0005006233797243ce826f366e4c8cfe716dcf4b225ba0b214b75e57c6b0104b