Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 3:21:00 P.M. to 07/31/2026, 3:22:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 483,802.63
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 54% of explained volume
Relative context
0.0x above local average
0.3x previous minute
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
1
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
50.71 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 51 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 3:21:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
483,802.63 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net sender
Unknown type
259,988.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005F4A999acbE5088BFBf8FF1c024edB738437F7
Net sender
Unknown type
167,074.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771
Net sender
Unknown type
26,256.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00690166E86cB4C058712b1fB7A54eFb2e754A76
Net sender
Unknown type
16,579.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 483,802.63 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
50.71 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:21:02 P.M.
-1 min
6 tx
164.18 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:19:51 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate18 tx
550,115.84 QUAI • 31 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:22:12 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
1,366.09 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:18:41 P.M.
+2 min
19 tx
26,449.53 QUAI • 33 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:23:25 P.M.
-3 min
7 tx
397.62 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:17:30 P.M.
+4 min
22 tx
16,083.49 QUAI • 32 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:24:36 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 3:16:20 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
259,988.01 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:21:06 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
16,579.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:21:24 P.M.
From: 0x00690166E86cB4C058712b1fB7A54eFb2e754A76
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002100727d97788766802e656cdbb1cb2b3f287c794c03804c7eb8aafe0980f0
26,256.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:21:24 P.M.
From: 0x0042b0Cc833a84f5E1AfD08762b886230b9aB771
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x003b0008e9884c0a4ad0d5f4ba00afce8a09a3c51959a1ac8ae385ed69d8ec43
13,904.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:21:24 P.M.
From: 0x007813a4b515c47C1058E8455D319840A18d60f6
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006d00678babe9e96d05b4ac7e21583c3e4dea7eb9ecb58fd632dfc61f7817a6
259,988.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:21:06 P.M.
From: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005a005715643b64d4ebb71b4ee11a61576c2001778e5fcfcce4270f0ff2c3aa
167,074.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 3:21:06 P.M.
From: 0x005F4A999acbE5088BFBf8FF1c024edB738437F7
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x002c007f84357f9f303da4b8be2c2da3210c74c1cb1d358f299a628792709358