Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 12:20:00 P.M. to 07/31/2026, 12:21:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,018.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
3.7x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
4,018.8 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004af1688627aD0Ca70c6221f207C59128E1954E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 4019 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x004af1688627aD0Ca70c6221f207C59128E1954E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 12:20:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net sender
Unknown type
2,203.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004af1688627aD0Ca70c6221f207C59128E1954E
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,203.45 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00717AA1DfdA4eED17912DCCaA7C1553AC1F0a0d
Net sender
Unknown type
1,715.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,715.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
99.75 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate1 tx
55,299.06 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:19:52 P.M.
-1 min
2 tx
1,073.33 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:18:42 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
4,018.8 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:21:03 P.M.
-2 min
15 tx
16,571.3 QUAI • 28 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:17:31 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
19,999.16 QUAI • 8 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:22:14 P.M.
+3 min
6 tx
15,866.09 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:23:25 P.M.
-4 min
50 tx
3,141 QUAI • 64 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:16:19 P.M.
-5 min
5 tx
1,746.79 QUAI • 19 addresses
07/31/2026, 12:15:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,203.45 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:20:30 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004af1688627aD0Ca70c6221f207C59128E1954E
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
49.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:20:34 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x00317DC426a9E548C4d47A899F322c2aa998605E
Tx: 0x001b0017ff78d38b2a505a87096cef621022b9f06f1741d381cfa6e8aab09d27
2,203.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:20:30 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x004af1688627aD0Ca70c6221f207C59128E1954E
Tx: 0x0045006411cf779d65a4491b13bfec958631a1a1eb9ce2e6a83a2bc1ae489f3c
1,715.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:20:30 P.M.
From: 0x00717AA1DfdA4eED17912DCCaA7C1553AC1F0a0d
To: 0x0072E296d3EFe8B6707a08A45660d8a575b52Cfe
Tx: 0x002d0007cb0262f5c9ea68843955734de537a8b65e74982a5bb6b8fcdd908ca1
50.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 12:20:30 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x007e7eecbe669d04C5687cF90692Bd58554Ed18d
Tx: 0x007a005515f5f85844969d5f37a170d19f2c6f5abc7c3d3316f7ab89bb461e44