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Spike bucket

07/31/2026, 10:17:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 07/31/2026, 10:17:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 10:18:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
5% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,095.37
Unexplained QUAI: 22,359.2
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 74% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
7.8x previous minute
1466x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
10
Observable rows
5
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
23,454.58 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0003DDff81B4f6904E1b7bf9526ED9BC3C281c5B.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 23455 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0003DDff81B4f6904E1b7bf9526ED9BC3C281c5B.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidenceSource coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context windowThin source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 10:17:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (95% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (5%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,095.37 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x0003DDff81B4f6904E1b7bf9526ED9BC3C281c5B
Net receiver
Unknown type
806.69 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Net receiver
Unknown type
249.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Net receiver
Unknown type
26.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003e21F7B1c0B3B83CeA217DF788fA0642BDF778
Net receiver
Unknown type
8.84 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

5 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 10. The remaining 5 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.

Biggest whale alert

806.69 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:17:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0003DDff81B4f6904E1b7bf9526ED9BC3C281c5B

All transfers in this selected minute

5 transactions
8.84 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:17:02 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003e21F7B1c0B3B83CeA217DF788fA0642BDF778
Tx: 0x00640000effdc5f72fa1aa7a6f7cf73de89d0cdb8fc3cdc770dfba0da3ad6cf1
249.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:17:02 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x00260030b02ddf3ad872d113dbb69b0cea5ad28ffd1734b6f1dd6f293092a9c3
26.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:17:02 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002cc0f8Ff017a0b9B6983d9ADBB8A7d9bBA7135
Tx: 0x0073007981b964c641abbc1454e9d260df3bcba8ff147fc3fe407d6629dbd350
Open txWallet profile
806.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:17:02 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0003DDff81B4f6904E1b7bf9526ED9BC3C281c5B
Tx: 0x003e0032af1626097e0c4a74ecf575ff478fdc29f2ff698eabad4d25900df61b
4.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 10:17:02 A.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x003c82ECb4b9D3756F2cd7484713a5F4B0CA16bC
Tx: 0x0067001bb8d10f7ad80fc6bd1fe558cdba17aa22dd12e36dc1377ae0a4931b4c