Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 6:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 6:04:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 6:05:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 31,216
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 64% of explained volume
Relative context
2.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
31,216 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 31216 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 6:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
31,216 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.78 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007A4F3Db2F1AB6a7FB42CfCb01EeD52FbF90d8D
Net sender
Unknown type
11,217.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 31,216 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:03:20 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate2 tx
31,216 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:04:31 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
19,999.1 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:02:09 A.M.
+2 min
29 tx
25,847.5 QUAI • 41 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:05:42 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
11,227.04 QUAI • 13 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:00:59 A.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:06:53 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
07/31/2026, 5:59:48 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
2.58 QUAI • 11 addresses
07/31/2026, 6:08:04 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.78 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:04:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
11,217.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:04:30 A.M.
From: 0x007A4F3Db2F1AB6a7FB42CfCb01EeD52FbF90d8D
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0042007277742040a6ec67f2e377b83a7fa9812793fa369e28e2a8ffc30744db
19,998.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 6:04:30 A.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005500637fd7b511fa5ef044a2b256705fa674ae4d58b2f89b149b5d9314f3cc