Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 2:54:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 2:55:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,885.68
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 51% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
10
Asset volume
3,885.68 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 3886 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
3,413.09 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,992.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0061602a3dF8B527a69bc84bF41dA6610a8DC044
Net receiver
Unknown type
583.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
Net receiver
Unknown type
577.91 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
472.59 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
8,352.39 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:53:59 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
10,083.88 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:52:47 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
3,885.68 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:55:10 A.M.
-2 min
9 tx
3,231.23 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:51:36 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate25 tx
36,285.26 QUAI • 33 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:56:21 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
4,478.32 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:50:25 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
3,664.84 QUAI • 14 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:57:32 A.M.
-5 min
10 tx
6,033.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:49:14 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,992.71 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:54:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
80.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:54:59 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00642D2262D69db4298a178870e37B19F341fedB
Tx: 0x00430068be9ad1a19e705cda72f4b94fb4fe6bdaa204e3edb40fd98a29a0ba32
577.91 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:54:59 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00631D43f340A0EC5F247627756fc1288f05Cc1E
Tx: 0x0021001f3132970c6c15e9dac3dda09b2d2cf9914d1edfc9cf5f5d9bcbd16068
258.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:54:30 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00627Ca48Eb5122B274badc01b1be67E9bde7f1b
Tx: 0x00460020cd78527930448e580061955b68ed4d16ed1ac646a2e7e18f73608aed
174.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:54:30 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006423A5E5f51916c158a0C2047fA2f091eDF35D
Tx: 0x00740043deb8b95dca568d9ca7e831527648f96698fd2494a6af8ed467ebceea
73.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:54:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Tx: 0x005a006bbc8a89e764766416bc1f3afaea31446fe54362115a30dc53ed2ea121
1,992.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:54:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00624D02961633798A1a9cFa7c0b2210Fa6053fB
Tx: 0x0004007e68776b98d92354d75db1f3b81c27b4469779f1bc02e4b1ef087a83ea
144.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:54:11 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0063B7EcE01A26afda1E602cCD29B771C428b62F
Tx: 0x0030002ff482412ac783298cdf10eaad581314a18ac411d6c1687445f9a98cba
583.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:54:11 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0061602a3dF8B527a69bc84bF41dA6610a8DC044
Tx: 0x0001002d9951c241e4066e149e47d4031092f0918e5bcfdbe7e387aa3d11453e
