Spike bucket
07/31/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 07/31/2026, 2:53:00 A.M. to 07/31/2026, 2:54:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
87% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,303.35
Unexplained QUAI: 1,049.03
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
0.5x above local average
2.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
12
85.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
24
Asset volume
8,352.39 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 8352 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 07/31/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
5,297.93 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,473.74 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,672.75 QUAI across 5 visible rows
0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,635.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Net receiver
Unknown type
794.43 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
9 tx
10,083.88 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:52:47 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
3,231.23 QUAI • 15 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:51:36 A.M.
+1 min
14 tx
8,352.39 QUAI • 24 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:53:59 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
3,885.68 QUAI • 16 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:55:10 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
4,478.32 QUAI • 20 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:50:25 A.M.
+3 min
25 tx
36,285.26 QUAI • 33 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:56:21 A.M.
-4 min
10 tx
6,033.68 QUAI • 18 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:49:14 A.M.
-5 min
Best candidate32 tx
56,727.07 QUAI • 43 addresses
07/31/2026, 2:48:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,473.74 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:53 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
2,473.74 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:53 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00614d9ed6c8470cfadC8746D2431B51dD4E2394
Tx: 0x00400052ec5a050c66cbb0b5fb6b2a3bb1394b278e1cb05fe764f710fd84ef83
522.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:53 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0062c980Ebe67AF14207ea5310c559EE747183A1
Tx: 0x005300725885d09d30afabf2276323a6668efd41e5eaf1f7e0ac1392ec5b9c4e
237.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:31 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00611e2cF57B087bAccf7A12498119D49f28FDd6
Tx: 0x004b0044e09670c632ca429470627b1971b810f6347e4cff7e07c1d6ee8e4e91
515.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00628BF61B02ba4a9b3C5e3C4d13D53Dc70B8038
Tx: 0x003c000ad221f34fbe34f47b884f7b3b29f312120e8c02286f163732d64fcfb1
794.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:28 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00600BBDc38fe9ee40d5Fc411582EB0295d3dcAA
Tx: 0x00190033cf6b6dbc49e7b02dffaf9c74b49ada5453ad072b47ea2de39aae5ade
518.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:28 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00625f252d5A4780be2505d35a0Db8648700e94D
Tx: 0x0033006ef1f6e6d25094ffb281fa6d2547add417a705b9ee2a2de613dc34d823
1,635.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005eDfb27496C16975832A0D24f1C97f719f9Eef
Tx: 0x0066003742a9eea63ea5ae0c862393938eeb1beacd914a12a87712ffa85173f9
55.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00622819C29f0bF9f686e9a9DE0178D2D3D5a613
Tx: 0x007f0054f166d320ab6b9aa2effc477f9be5589d5dac961d874615193bee011e
156.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x005Ed8e6bF41602FaB522b2d81eFE5C07Ef85a94
Tx: 0x007e005cdbfe48c20ea268a714c48c81770317d9f51f99ef86569fda71955783
60.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006200b5Bf4f35f2d793382eC2AFF48a2895a5A7
Tx: 0x004e0004210f3a7b023972429ef6442f346ae29be36126df220c1eea03b4f6db
331.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
From: 0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x000800535ed86b3be2214309c5b00be8b3880477b7b9637e44572e09edb8146d
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
07/31/2026, 2:53:00 A.M.
From: 0x002F42bEFb7317bCB89e3F9b01e8BD1d0125c3F2
To: 0x0008159eF6d55C4e0Ddb6D6fC8b6095a45C58144
Tx: 0x005e00662cd1f21370aec8a2e8e5b19ae85558ece1634f179b048fdbf2e49c05
